Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-25-24 Picks

David Racey June 25, 2024

Philadelphia Phillies (52-26) vs. Detroit Tigers (36-42)
June 25, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers +109 / Philadelphia Phillies -128; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 25th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Tigers Offense Continues to Struggle

The Detroit Tigers are 36-42 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Detroit dropped game one in this series on Monday night, scoring just one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox, lost all three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Astros. Detroit is 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 321 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .261 with 15 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored two runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games.

Phillies Looking for Four Straight

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-26 this year and they have won three games in a row. Philadelphia won game one in this series on Monday night by a score of 8-1. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last seven games and they continue to lead the NL East.

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.07 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 398 runs with a .260 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .303 with 19 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed exactly one run in each of their last three games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 8-3 with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 90.0 innings pitched this season. Skubal has allowed four earned runs in each of his last two starts against Houston and Atlanta. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 10-1 with a 1.75 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this year. Suarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will beat the Detroit Tigers

The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against the Tigers.
The Tigers have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Tigers’ last nine home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Phillies’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four road games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Andy Ibanez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Comerica Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
Mark Canha has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Alec Bohm has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL opponents.
Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites.