Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9-25-24 MLB Picks
Tampa Bay Rays (78-79) vs. Detroit Tigers (83-74)
September 25, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -120 / Tampa Bay Rays +100; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 25th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 83-74 this season and they have won three games in a row. Detroit won the first game in this series by a score of 2-1 on Monday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Orioles, swept the Royals, and won two out of three against the Orioles. Detroit is 7-1 in their last eight games and they are tied for second in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Tigers’ offense has scored 662 runs with a .234 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .262 with 24 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Tigers this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 78-79 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Tampa Bay dropped game one in this series and their offense didn’t show up once again. Prior to this series, the Rays swept the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Red Sox, and split four games with the Guardians. Tampa Bay is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are fourth in the AL East.
The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Rays’ offense has scored 590 runs with a .231 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .282 with 14 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rays this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 6-6 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 92.2 innings pitched this year. Montero has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 8-9 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 151.2 innings pitched this season. Littell has allowed zero earned runs in his last three starts (18.0 IP).
Why the Tigers will beat the Rays
- The Tigers have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have lost each of their last three road games.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last 10 games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last six home games against AL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Riley Greene has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Wednesday night appearances with the Tigers at Comerica Park.
- Wenceel Perez has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Rays’ last eight Wednesday night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rays’ last two games as road underdogs.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances at Comerica Park.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two road games against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Detroit comes into this game red hot over the last two months and they are going for their fourth straight win here. The Tigers are 40-36 at home this year, while the Rays are 36-40 on the road. Tampa Bay continues to get great pitching, but their offense is one of the worst in the MLB. The Rays do have the pitching advantage in this game with Littell on the mound, but I am not going against the Tigers right now. Take Detroit here.