Washington Nationals (31-35) vs. Detroit Tigers (32-34)
June 12, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -135 / Washington Nationals +115; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 12th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Tigers Looking for Better Pitching
The Detroit Tigers are 32-34 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Detroit lost game one in this series in extra innings on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Brewers, won two out of three against the Rangers, and split four games with the Red Sox. Detroit is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL Central behind Cleveland, Kansas City, and Minnesota.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 278 runs with a .229 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .242 with 11 home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit is 11th in team ERA this season, but they have allowed 31 runs in their last five games.
Nationals Try for Five Straight
The Washington Nationals are 31-35 this year and they have won four games in a row. Washington won game one in this series by a score of 5-4 in extra innings on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Nationals won three out of four against the Braves, were swept by the Mets, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Washington is 7-7 in their last 14 games and they are third in the NL East behind Atlanta and Philadelphia.
The Washington pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 265 runs with a .231 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .245 with 10 home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Washington is just 24th in runs scored so far this season, but they have scored 20 runs in their last three games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 1-7 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this year. Olson started the season pitching very well, but he has allowed 13 earned runs and 18 hits in his last two starts against Boston and Milwaukee, which only covered 9.1 innings. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 4-5 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this season. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts and he has allowed a total of four earned runs in those four outings, which covered 18.1 innings against the Braves (twice), Guardians, and Twins.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
The Tigers have lost each of their last eight games at Comerica Park after going to extra innings.
The Nationals have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Tigers’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last 10 night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight night games at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington was able to win a crazy game on Tuesday in extra innings and they will look for their fifth straight win here. The Nationals are 18-18 on the road this year and they have played great against Detroit and Atlanta in their last five games. Detroit is just 15-18 at home this season and while their pitching staff has solid numbers on the season, they have not pitched well in recent games. Reese Olson looked like one of the best pitchers in the AL for the first two months, but he has been roughed up in his last two starts. On the other side, Jake Irvin has been fantastic over the last two weeks. I know neither team has great offensive numbers, but Reese Olson is regressing quickly and I think he gives up more runs here. My Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals prediction is for the Nationals to get the win.
