Washington Nationals (32-35) vs. Detroit Tigers (32-35)
June 13, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -140 / Washington Nationals +120; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 13th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Tigers are Trying to Avoid Sweep
The Detroit Tigers are 32-35 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Detroit has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 12 runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Brewers, won two out of three against the Rangers, and split four games with the Red Sox. Detroit is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL Central behind Cleveland, Kansas City, and Minnesota.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 283 runs with a .230 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .245 with 12 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit started the season with some strong pitching, but they have allowed at least five runs in five of their last six games.
Nationals are Swinging a Hot Bat
The Washington Nationals are 32-35 this year and they have won five games in a row. Washington has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 7-5. Prior to this series, the Nationals won three out of four against the Braves, lost all three against the Mets, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Washington is 11-8 in their last 19 games and they are third in the NL East.
The Washington pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 272 runs with a .233 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .248 with 11 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington is 23rd in runs scored this season, but they have scored at least five runs in four straight games and seven of their last ten.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 1-4 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year. Mize has allowed three earned runs or more three of his last four starts and has allowed a total of 14 earned runs in those four starts (15.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Patrick Corbin, who is 1-7 with a 6.15 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 71.2 innings pitched this season. Corbin has allowed thee earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow 14 earned runs in the other two outings in that span. Washington is 4-9 in Corbin’s 13 starts this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games against American League opponents following a road win.
The Tigers have won nine of their last 12 games following a home loss.
The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents following a road win.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday day road games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Tigers’ last 10 games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last four day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four day games.
Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Detroit comes into this game as the favorite, but their pitching staff has had a ton of issues over the last few games. The Tigers will start Casey Mize in this one, but he has had plenty of struggles in his last four starts. On the bright side, the Detroit offense has been better over the last couple of weeks and they will face Corbin, who has some really ugly numbers on the season. I don’t love Mize on the mound for the Tigers, but he is the way better option over Corbin. My Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals prediction is for the Tigers to get the win.
