Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction 4/25/25 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Chris Sale for the start here and Sale is 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks. The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Zac Gallen for the start here and Gallen is 1-3 with a 5.60 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Atlanta, Gallen is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over St. Louis last time out to improve to 10-14 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road again for a series against the Colorado Rockies.

Braves Win Back-To-Back Series

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 29 hits including 6 home runs, 16 RBIs and a team-high 4 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 32 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 22 hits with 4 home runs and 11 RBIs and Matt Olson has 20 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 15 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 21 hits with 4 home runs and 9 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 21 hits with 3 doubles, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs and 4 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has a team-high 4 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last five games against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Chase Field following an extra innings loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Chase Field against teams that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 17 appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents .
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances at Chase Field.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.500) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-4 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays in Thursday’s series finale to fall to 14-11 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Diamondbacks Drop Rubber Match & Series

Corbin Carroll has a team-high 34 hits with 9 home runs, 23 RBIs and 8 doubles while Josh Naylor has 31 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 6 home runs and 15 RBIs while Geraldo Perdomo has 19 RBIs. Naylor has also chipped in 4 stolen bases as well up to this point in the year while Suarez has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 30 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll also has a team-high 5 stolen bases and Perdomo has 4 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last 11 games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against NL East opponents.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Zac Gallen has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Braves’ last five games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I just think that the Braves have a clear edge in starting pitching, which isn’t something I thought I’d be saying with Zac Gallen at home on the other side. The Diamondbacks have also been far more effective against left-handed pitching so far this year, and I think the Braves are a better team than what they’ve shown to this point. Give me the Atlanta Braves to draw first blood here.