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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (26-14) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (21-19)
May 11, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -112 / LA Dodgers -108; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-14 on the year and play the Athletics, Angels, and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .260 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .459 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 46 hits and 20 RBI, while Teoscar Hernandez and Andy Pages have combined for 79 hits and 53 RBI.

Tony Gonsolin gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Gonsolin is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 21-19 on the year and play the Giants, Rockies, and Dodgers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .249 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .440 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 47 hits and 28 RBI, while Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 84 hits and 53 RBI.

Zac Gallen gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 3-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Gallen is 1-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Sunday day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday day road games against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have won each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Dodgers following a home win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Dodgers.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Dodgers.
  • Jake McCarthy has recorded a Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Tony Gonsolin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games against NL West opponents.
  • Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in five of the Dodgers’ last six games.
  • Tony Gonsolin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last five day games.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction

You can make a case for the Dodgers in this spot, as they don’t string together losses often, and you’re not going to get them at these soft prices much this season. However, one of my favorite things to do in baseball is to back ace caliber pitchers and cheap prices or plus money. That’s what we’re getting in Gallen, who is starting to heat up, allowing four hits and two runs in his last 13 innings while striking out 15.

And while Gallen hasn’t had much team success against the Dodgers, he’s holding current LAD hitters to a .241 batting average with 47 strikeouts in 170 at-bats. Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman are batting .217 against Gallen with 12 strikeouts in a combined 46 at-bats. We hit on the Diamondbacks yesterday, and I’m going to double-dip on this fine Sunday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -112

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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