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Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/10/23

Miami Marlins (17-19) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (20-15)
May 10, 2023 3:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -145 / Miami Marlins +125; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet in MLB action from Chase Field on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


Arizona is a -145 home favorite while Miami is a +125 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Edward Cabrera will get the start for the Marlins here and is 2-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Merrill Kelly will get the start for Arizona here and is 3-3 with a 2.75 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Miami’s 6-2 win over Arizona on Tuesday snapped Arizona’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.


Miami is 2-7 in their last 9 road games and 1-6 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 games against the NL West. Arizona is 7-1 in their last 8 Wednesday games and 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall.


I’m backing Arizona here. The Marlins were the far better team on Tuesday, but as much as I like Edward Cabrera, I just think this is a tough spot on a quick turnaround and these early starts have a tendency to favor the home team. Arizona’s still the better team side-by-side in my opinion, so I’ll back the Diamondbacks here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Arizona -145

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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