Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 4/9/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, April 9^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 7-5 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 3-2 home record and are coming off a 2-7 home loss against the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 4-3 home win against the Diamondbacks, a 5-2 and a 9-0 road win against the Giants.

The Mets have a .248 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .370 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 2.90 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Luis Robert Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Marcus Semien leads the team in RBI with 6, and Francisco Alvarez adds a team-high 3 home runs.

Nolan McLean (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 1-0 record, 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 6-6 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL West. They have a 1-4 away record and are coming off a 7-2 road win against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 3-4 road loss to the Mets, a 6-5 and a 2-1 home win against the Braves.

The Diamondbacks have a .223 batting average this season, .284 OBP and .367 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Corbin Carroll is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 11 and adding a team-high 2 home runs.

Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets Betting Trends: April 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 2.61
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Diamondbacks at Citi Field.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 0.00
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-1

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 18 games as road underdogs following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has hit two home runs in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
• Luis Robert ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.478) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 19 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
• James McCann has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citi Field.
• Eduardo Rodriguez ranks T1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (0.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (7).
• The Mets rank T4th in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (81).

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Dbacks are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in New York.

In this Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -160 home favorites. The Mets saw their four-game winning streak getting snapped and now have to face the leftie Eduardo Rodriguez who has been unhittable this season, having yet to earn a run. The Mets torched him last season though, with 8 earned runs in 4 innings pitched, while Nolan McLean was excellent at home last season for the Mets, with a 0.37 ERA in 4 home starts. On top of that, the Mets have the league’s third-best bullpen to come after him and have a better overall offense and are even better against lefties. Take the Mets on the moneyline in this one.