NY Mets (23-13) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (18-17)
May 6, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -112 / NY Mets -108; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 6, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (23-13, 10-10 Away) are without a series win since April 23 when they swept the Philadelphia Phillies. After that, the Mets split with the Nationals and lost to the Diamondbacks and Cardinals. New York opened the current series against Arizona with a 5-4 victory on Monday. Francisco Lindor led the team with three RBI, while Griffin Canning got the win after allowing one run on six hits with six strikeouts and one walk over 5.0 innings of work.
This year, the Mets average 4.80 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .252/.333/.418 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.87 ERA (2nd) and 1.24 WHIP (12th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .349 batting average, nine home runs, and 33 RBI this season.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Tuesday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 2-1 record in six starts this year with a 3.06 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 32.1 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-17, 8-9 Home) have only one series win over the last five, and it was against the Mets in New York, when the D-backs won two of three games. During this span, Arizona lost to the Cubs, Rays, Braves, and Phillies. In Game 1 defeat to the Mets on Monday, Eugenio Suarez led the offense with two RBI, while Ryne Nelson took the loss after allowing two runs on three hits with two strikeouts and four walks in 4.1 innings.
This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.18 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .247/.330/.431 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.49 ERA (25th) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with a .293 batting average, five home runs, and 29 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Zac Gallen, who is 2-4 in seven starts this season, with a 4.93 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 38.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Mets and Diamondbacks.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (180).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for RBIs this season (175).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (19).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (2.91).
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 2-2, while Over/Under is also 2-2. I am going with Under in this one because of the pitching matchup and the previous game when they started one across another. That game produced six runs on March 30, and I expect a similar outcome on Tuesday. Peterson and Gallen allowed one run apiece in that tilt. Peterson surrendered more than two runs in a game just once this year, and although Gallen hasn’t been that good, he has a solid record against the Mets, allowing a .215 BA in 107 at-bats. Back the Under.
