Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 5/8/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs. Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 14-23 on the year and play the Yankees and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting. 229 on the season, have a .293 OBP, and have a .351 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 36 hits and 16 RBI, while Francisco Alvarez and Marcus Semien have combined for 55 hits and 22 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-19 on the year and play the Rockies and Rangers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 242 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and have a .402 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.78 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 41 hits and 22 RBI while Nolan Arenado and Corbin Carroll have combined for 63 hits and 37 RBI.

Ryne Nelson gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-3 with a 6.61 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Nelson is 1-3 with a 5.86 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last six road games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Chase Field has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games at Chase Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ildemaro Vargas has hit at least one home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ildemaro Vargas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.360) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Nolan McLean ranks T10th in the league for total Strikeouts (51) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (99).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.351).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (134).

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction

I don’t want to back the Mets as much as the next guy, especially in the favorite role. However, the Diamondbacks aren’t playing any better this week and Nelson has been a mess with a 6.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP through 31.1 innings. As underachieving as the Mets are, McLean has been a bright spot with a 2.97 ERA and 0.94 WHIP through 39.1 innings. Through in 51 strikeouts and McLean looks like he can be an all-star in his second season. With the head and shoulders better pitcher on the mound, I’ll pinch my nose and side with the Mets.