Washington Nationals (28-30) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (27-31)
June 1, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -245 / Washington Nationals 200; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 1, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals (28-30, 15-16 Away) are on a four-game winning streak after defeating the Seattle Mariners and beating the Arizona Diamondbacks in the opening two games of the current series. After a 9-7 win in Game 1, the Nats beat the D-backs 11-7 on Saturday. Luis Garcia Jr. led the offense with three RBI, while Mike Soroka got the win after allowing four runs on six hits with three strikeouts and one walk in 5.1 innings.
This year, the Nationals average 4.55 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .245/.314/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Nationals’ staff has a 5.05 ERA (26th) and 1.40 WHIP (24th). James Wood leads the Nationals with a .288 batting average, 16 home runs, and 44 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Nationals is Mitchell Parker, who is 4-4 in 11 starts this season, with a 4.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 60.0 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (27-31, 14-17 Home) are going through their roughest patch of the season, after losing nine of the last ten games. They lost the series to the Dodgers, were swept by the Cardinals, and lost to the Pirates. The D-backs are on a four-game losing skid after two defeats to the Nats in this series. In Saturday’s 11-7 defeat, Brandon Pfaadt took the loss as he experienced the worst start of his career. He allowed eight runs on six hits and didn’t register a single strikeout in 0.0 innings.
This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.05 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .256/.332/.447 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.88 ERA (25th) and 1.34 WHIP (22nd). Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with a .231 batting average, 15 home runs, and 42 RBI this season.
Corbin Burnes will take the mound for the Diamondbacks on Sunday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 3-2 record in ten starts this year with a 2.72 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 59.2 innings.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Nationals
- The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine day games following a home loss.
- The Nationals have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Chase Field against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Sunday day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T4th in the league for triples this season (12).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for RBIs this season (286).
- The Nationals rank T6th in the league for steals this season (54).
- The Nationals rank 25th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H duels. In five H2Hs this season, Washington won four, and the Nats are actually on a four-game winning streak over Arizona. However, I am going with the D-backs in this one, mainly because of Corbin Burnes, Arizona’s ace, who is having a strong season. In May, Burnes registered a 1.67 ERA, and even though he surrendered four runs in his previous start against the Nationals, I am backing him to get a quality start here and a win. Mitchell Parker, on the other hand, got the win in his last start against the Diamondbacks, but he will struggle in this one. After losing the first two of the series, back the D-backs to win big on Sunday.
