Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction 7/8/25 MLB Picks Today

The Arizona Diamondbacks are visiting the San Diego Padres on Tuesday, July 8^th at the PETCO Park in the second game of this series, with the Dbacks having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction. We will examine:

The San Diego Padres’ recent form and player performance

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends in games played between the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres game

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 48-42 record this season and are sitting in third place in the NL West. They have a 27-16 home record, and are 37-50 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 3-6 home defeat by the Dbacks, and under is 5-3 in their last 8 games. They are playing the Phillies and the Nationals next.

The Padres have a .246 batting average this season, a .316 OBP, and a .373 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.  Manny Machado leads the Padres with 101 hits, adding a team-high .293 batting average and a team-high 53 RBI. He also adds a team-high 15 home runs.

Nick Pivetta (R) will take the mound for the Padres, and he has a 9-2 record, 3.25 ERA, and 1.04 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 45-46 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 22-21 road record and are 47-39 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-3 road victory over the Padres, and are 2-4 in their last 6 games. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they are playing the Cardinals and the Angels next.

The Diamondbacks have a .252 batting average this season, a .328 OBP, and a .446 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 93 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 74, and in home runs with 28.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.55 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against the Padres following a win.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have won the first inning in eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games at Petco Park.
• The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Diamondbacks and Padres at Petco Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as underdogs against the Padres have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games at Petco Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (639).
• The Padres rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (76).
• The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (158).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (20).

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against the Padres, and are 3-1 in their three meetings this season. The Dbacks have also won their last three visits in San Diego, and over is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings.

In this Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction, the Padres are coming as -125 home favorites. The Padres are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record and have been very strong at home, while the D-backs are mediocre at home. The Padres won their previous meeting this season by 8-2 when those two pitchers started, as Pivetta had 2 earned runs and Kelly 4. Pivetta has been excellent at home, with a 2.55 home ERA, and the Padres have a superior bullpen and are much better against right-handed pitching. Take the Padres for the bounce-back home win tonight.