Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction 8/31/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Monday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 77-60 on the year and play the Braves and Astros next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .243 on the season, with a .314 OBP and a .402 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 132 hits and 51 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 256 hits and 135 RBI.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 5-10 with a 5.03 ERA and 153 strikeouts this season. Nola is 3-4 with a 6.23 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 73-65 on the year and play the Royals and Astros next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .244 on the season and have a .316 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 122 hits and 47 RBI, while Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll have combined for 239 hits and 128 RBI.

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 7-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt is 0-2 with a 7.59 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six games at Chase Field.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against the Phillies.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in each of his last six Monday appearances.
• Gabriel Moreno ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (163) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (35).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (945).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1349).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are playing the better baseball right now, but we’re getting plus money with the Diamondbacks at home, who are fighting for their playoff lives. Nola has figured things out this month, but he’s still a pitcher with a 5.03 ERA and 1.40 WHIP on the season. Pfaadt has been far more trustworthy with a 3.51 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, and he’s allowed 9 earned runs in his last 40 innings. The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in Pfaadt’s last 11 appearances. I’ll gladly grab the plus money with the Diamondbacks in this spot.