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Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction 9/1/26 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (78-60) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (73-66)
September 1, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks 118 / Philadelphia Phillies -142; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 78-60 on the year and play the Braves and Astros next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .243 on the season, with a .313 OBP and a .402 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 132 hits and 51 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 258 hits and 136 RBI.


Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 203 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 2-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 73-66 on the year and play the Royals and Astros next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .244 on the season and have a .316 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 122 hits and 47 RBI, while Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll have combined for 239 hits and 128 RBI.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 14-4 with a 2.50 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. Rodriguez is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against NL opponents following a loss.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against NL West opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Phillies’ last six games.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Phillies’ last nine road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in two of the Diamondbacks’ last three games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances against the Phillies.
  • Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez ranks T5th in the league for Wins (14) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Edmundo Sosa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Luis Arraez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (164) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (35).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (948).
  • The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1358).
  • The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction

You can make a case for the Phillies with Luzardo on the mound as they’re all playing good ball. However, we’re getting plus money with the Diamondbacks at home, and they’re fighting for a playoff spot. Also, Rodriguez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 2.50 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 162 innings. Rodriguez has allowed 32 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 39.1 innings. The Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Rodriguez’s last 9 games. I want that on my side. Give me the Diamondbacks and the more favorable price on Tuesday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks 118

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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