Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction 3/31/26 MLB Picks Today
Detroit Tigers (2-2) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (1-3)
March 31, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -110 / Detroit Tigers -110; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Tigers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 2-2 on the year and play the Cardinals and Twins next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .221 on the season and have a .325 OBP, and a .301 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Colt Keith leads the Detroit Tigers with 6 hits and 2 RBI, while Kevin McGonigle and Dillon Dingler have combined for 9 hits and 9 RBI.
Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he was 14-6 with a 3.87 ERA and 139 strikeouts last season. This will be Mize’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 1-3 on the year and play the Braves and Mets next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .229 on the season, have a .287 OBP, and have a .397 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 5.73 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 4 hits and 2 RBI while Geraldo Perdomo and Gabriel Moreno have combined for 8 hits and 3 RBI.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he was 13-9 with a 5.25 ERA and 147 strikeouts last season. This will be Pfaadt’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The home team has won each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against American League opponents.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have won 12 of their last 14 games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Tigers and Diamondbacks at Chase Field has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last six night games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games at Chase Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (5.73).
- The Tigers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (1).
- The Tigers rank T5th in the league for doubles this season (8).
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction
Mize was the better pitcher last season, but I’m not getting enough bang for my buck to pull the trigger. The Diamondbacks finally got on the board with a win where the offense broke out and that could have a carryover effect. Pfaadt’s season numbers from last season aren’t great, but all of those hiccups came on the road. At home through 97.1 innings, Pfaadt had a 3.24 ERA and .250 allowed batting average. A pick-’em spot. I’m going to back arizona at home.