Dodgers vs Padres Prediction 7/3/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Friday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Padres Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 43-43 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 225 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 93 hits and 33 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 134 hits and 64 RBI.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-7 with a 3.55 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. King is 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 57-31 on the year and play the Rockies and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .267 on the season and have a .349 OBP and a .445 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 94 hits and 47 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 181 hits and 112 RBI.

Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 8-2 with a 1.58 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. Ohtani is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have lost each of their last six games.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Padres have won four of their last five Friday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Padres have covered the run line in 21 of their last 25 road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Padres’ last five night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Padres’ last 16 night games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Dalton Rushing has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Padres.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine night games.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games against the Dodgers.
• Michael King has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances.
• Michael King has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (474).
• The Dodgers rank T1st in the league for hits this season (794).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (634).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.225).

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

As I said yesterday, I’m always looking for chances to fade the Dodgers and these inflated lines. However, this isn’t a spot to do it. The Padres are back to their losing ways, and while King is an above-average pitcher, he’s allowed 27 hits and 14 runs in his last 28.1 innings. The Dodgers just hit King for 3 hits and 4 runs in 4.1 innings a week ago. Ohtani has pitched out of his mind this season, and that includes a 1.70 ERA and a .151 allowed batting average at home through 37 innings. Give me the Dodgers and the RL for max betting value.