Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction 10/9/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB Game 4 NLDS action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies need another win to force a gam5 on Saturday. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .250 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .430 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. J.T. Realmuto leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 5 hits and 3 RBI, while Trea Turner and Bryce Harper have combined for 7 hits and 3 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 212 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 0-0 with a 3.46 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 4.01 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to make the NLCS for the fourth time in the last 6 years. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .278 on the season, have a .352 OBP, and a .466 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Mookie Betts leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 9 hits and 3 RBI, while Teoscar Hernandez and Enrique Hernandez have combined for 13 hits and 13 RBI.

Tyler Glasnow gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. Glasnow is 2-6 with a 5.51 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his postseason career. Glasnow is 1-0 with a 7.56 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Glasnow      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 4-3      ERA: 3.13
• Home Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last five playoff games following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five playoff games following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five playoff games following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 15 of their last 16 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Dodger Stadium.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 13-5      ERA: 2.51
• Road Record: 7-5
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last 10 games between the Phillies and Dodgers.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against the Dodgers.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four playoff games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last seven home playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Phillies’ last nine day playoff games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Freddie Freeman has hit at least one home run in five of the Dodgers’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Tyler Glasnow has recorded eight or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last three road playoff games against NL West opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1426).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The Dodgers are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Dodgers and at home. However, Glasnow hasn’t had much postseason success and in 69 at bats against current Phillies, he’s allowing a .246 batting average, .350 on base percentage and .391 slugging percentage. Sanchez has pitched like an all-star this season, and that includes allowing 26 hits and 8 runs in his last 38.1 innings. The Phillies have won 8 of Sanchez’s last 12 starts. I’ll take a stab with the Phillies and the more favorable price.