Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction 9/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 91-61 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Marlins, and Twins next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .260 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .432 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 179 hits and 69 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 269 hits and 194 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 14-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 200 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 84-67 on the year and play the Giants, Diamondbacks, and Mariners next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .254 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .440 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 161 hits and 94 RBI while Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages have combined for 303 hits and 163 RBI.

Blake Snell gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 4-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Snell is 0-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: September 17, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Blake Snell      Record this season: 4-4      ERA: 2.79
• Home Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-2

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 Wednesday night home games.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in six of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 home games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo      Record this season: 14-6      ERA: 4.03
• Road Record: 7-4
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight night games at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Blake Snell has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
• Blake Snell has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Mookie Betts has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in four of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites against the Phillies.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.611) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL West opponents.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (53) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (773).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (223).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1347).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1382).

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The Dodgers are going to be favored because they’re the Dodgers, and they’re at home with Snell on the mound. However, we’ve cashed a couple of times with the Phillies in this series already, and they’re too good of a team to turn down at plus money. Luzardo is a strikeout machine capable of getting in grooves, and he’s holding current Dodgers to a .221 allowed batting average and 22 strikeouts in 68 at bats. I’m not turning down plus money with the Phillies, so let’s get greedy and go for the sweep.