Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction 7/21/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, July 21^st in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 56-45 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 27-23 home record and are coming off a 10-7 home win against the Dodgers. They will face the Yankees and the Marlins next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .237 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 61, adding a team-high 33 home runs.

Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 10-1 record, 2.13 ERA and 0.89 WHIP.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 63-38 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL West. They have a 32-19 away record and are coming off a 7-10 road loss against the Phillies. They will face the Mets and the Mariners next.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a .260 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .431 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, adding a team-high 22 home runs. Andy Pages leads the team in RBI with 68.

Justin Wrobleski (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he has a 10-2 record, 2.69 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: July 21, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: 10-1      ERA: 2.13
• Home Record: 4-0
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost nine of their last 10 night games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Wrobleski      Record this season: 10-2      ERA: 2.69
• Road Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12 road games following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Dodgers following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 14 of their last 18 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last four road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last 10 night games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last six road games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last seven games as home favorites.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Mookie Betts has hit at least one home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs.
• Justin Wrobleski has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Justin Wrobleski ranks T6th in the league for Wins (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (986).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (986).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The Dodgers are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Phillies and have won two of their last three visits in Philly.

In this Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -135 home favorites. This is a pitcher’s duel between Wheeler and Wrobleski, who have a combined 4.82 ERA and have both been in excellent form. The opening game of this series had a whopping 17 total runs but I expect a low-scoring games as both elite pitchers suppress opposing offenses. Prior to yesterday’s game, both teams were 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games combined, so I will go with the under 8.5 runs in this one.