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Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction 8/1/26 MLB Picks Today

Boston Red Sox (58-51) vs. LA Dodgers (69-41)
August 1, 2026 9:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -163 / Boston Red Sox 135; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 58-51 on the year and play the Athletics and White Sox next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .245 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .394 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 116 hits and 54 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 203 hits and 120 RBI.

Payton Tolle gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 6-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. This will be Tolle’s first career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 69-41 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Cubs next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .262 on the season and have a .341 OBP and a .433 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 124 hits and 54 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 225 hits and 138 RBI.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 11-6 with a 2.72 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five night games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Red Sox following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Dodgers’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last six appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Max Muncy has hit at least one home run in each of his last four Saturday appearances against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Freddie Freeman ranks 5th in the league in Hits (124) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Payton Tolle has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jahmai Jones has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Payton Tolle has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.262).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
  • The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (408).
  • The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (105).

Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction

I know the Dodgers are at home and Yamamoto is a CY Young candidate. The Dodgers are going to be favored like they always are. However, the value is with the Red Sox and the plus money, as we’re talking about a team that’s lost 5 games since June 25. It may not make sense, but until things cool off, you should probably be grabbing the more favorable prices when you can get them. The Red Sox have been the hottest thing smoking for over a month now. Give me the road dog on Saturday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox 135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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