Giants vs Mets Prediction 4/4/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (4-4) vs. San Francisco Giants (3-5)
April 4, 2026 9:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants 102 / NY Mets -122; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet Saturday in MLB action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Giants vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs. Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 4-4 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Athletics next. The New York Mets are batting. 230 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and have a .378 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.89 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 11 hits and 5 RBI, while Luis Robert Jr. and Bo Bichette have combined for 14 hits and 11 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 3-5 on the year and play the Phillies and Orioles next. The San Francisco Giants are batting. 218 on the season, have a .281 OBP, and have a .318 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Luis Arraez leads the San Francisco Giants with 10 hits and 3 RBI while Rafael Devers and Willy Adames have combined for 14 hits and 4 RBI.
Landen Roupp gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Roupp’s second career game against the New York Mets.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The Giants have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Giants have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last eight Saturday games against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have lost each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Giants.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Mets and Giants has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four night games against NL West opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Giants’ last eight games against National League opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez ranks T9th in the league in Hits (10) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Oracle Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
- Carson Benge ranks T5th in the league in Steals (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Giants rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.318).
- The Giants rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (4).
- The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (38).
Giants vs Mets Prediction
The Giants’ pitching staff is getting hit hard too often for my liking, and this Mets lineup is capable of adding to it. We saw it yesterday and that could lead to a carryover in this spot. Holmes was decent in his season debut and he’s the more trustworthy arm in this matchup. Roupp is still trying to work his way into being a consistent starter after spotty playing time through his first three seasons. We’re getting a cheap price; I have to roll with the Mets on the road.