Giants vs Mets Prediction 4/5/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (5-4) vs. San Francisco Giants (3-6)
April 5, 2026 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -120 / NY Mets 100; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet Sunday in MLB action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Giants vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs. Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 5-4 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Athletics next. The New York Mets are batting. 239 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and have a .384 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.58 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 11 hits and 5 RBI, while Mark Vientos and Bo Bichette have combined for 17 hits and 9 RBI.
Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Senga is 1-0 with a 7.07 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 3-6 on the year and play the Phillies and Orioles next. The San Francisco Giants are batting. 206 on the season, have a .269 OBP, and have a .296 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Luis Arraez leads the San Francisco Giants with 10 hits and 3 RBI while Rafael Devers and Matt Chapman have combined for 14 hits and 4 RBI.
Logan Webb gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Webb is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight Sunday games against National League opponents.
- The Giants have won four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Giants have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Giants have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Giants.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL West opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last 11 day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last five games between the Mets and Giants has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Giants’ last 10 games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
- Logan Webb has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
- Logan Webb has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his eight previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in six of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.
- Francisco Alvarez ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Giants rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (4).
- The Giants rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (22).
- The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Mets rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (40).
Giants vs Mets Prediction
The Giants are a tough sell with how they’re playing out of the gate, but Webb at Oracle has been a safe bet over the years. In 88 career starts at Oracle, Webb has a 2.92 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 529 strikeouts in 552.1 innings. Senga has been a strong pitcher through three seasons, but the Giants need a feel-good win and they have their ace on the bump at home. This feels like just what the doctor ordered. Give me the Giants and the cheap price on Sunday.