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Giants vs Phillies Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (53-39) vs. San Francisco Giants (51-42)
July 9, 2025 3:45 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants 112 / Philadelphia Phillies -136; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants meet Wednesday in MLB action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Giants vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-39 on the year and play the Padres, Angels, and Red Sox next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .255 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 111 hits and 39 RBI, while Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos have combined for 190 hits and 90 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-5 with a 4.44 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 51-42 on the year and play the Dodgers, Blue Jays, and Braves next. The San Francisco Giants are batting .232 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Heliot Ramos leads the San Francisco Giants with 94 hits and 47 RBI while Jung Hoo Lee and Willy Adames have combined for 158 hits and 82 RBI.

Justin Verlander gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 0-6 with a 4.84 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Verlander is 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 22 of the Giants’ last 23 games at Oracle Park.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games at Oracle Park.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last three day games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in five of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded a Double in each of the Giants’ last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Oracle Park.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances at Oracle Park.
  • Trea Turner ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (111) this season.

Giants vs Phillies Prediction

Verlander looks to be a shell of himself at 42 years old, but he has a hot Giants offense to back him off if things continue to go south. Luzardo has above average stuff and cane strikeout a lot, but he has allowed 36 hits and 20 earned runs in his last 27 innings. Luzardo is also allowing a .280 batting average in 47.2 road innings. Luzardo has been very hittable lately, and it’s not ideal against this Giants squad in this big park. I’m rolling with the Giants on the quick turnaround.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Francisco Giants +112

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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