
Giants vs Pirates Prediction 7-29-25 MLB Picks Today
Pittsburgh Pirates (45-62) vs. San Francisco Giants (54-53)
July 29, 2025 9:45 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -157 / Pittsburgh Pirates 129; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Giants vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates (45-62, 14-37 Away) were swept by the Chicago White Sox, swept the Detroit Tigers, and then beat the Arizona Diamondbacks. In Game 1 of the current series against the Giants, Pittsburgh got a narrow 6-5 victory last night. Andrew McCutchen and Isiah Kiner-Falefa led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Mitch Keller pitched for 2.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Yohan Ramirez was credited with the win.
This year, the Pirates average 3.35 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .229/.299/.339 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (9th) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .231 batting average, ten home runs, and 51 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Bailey Falter, who is 7-5 in 21 starts this season, with a 3.82 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 108.1 innings.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants (54-53, 28-24 Home) were swept by the Toronto Blue Jays, defeated the Atlanta Braves, and were swept by the New York Mets. The Giants are now on a four-game losing skid after falling short 6-5 in the opening game of the series against the Pirates. Willy Adames led the offense with two RBI, while Carson Whisenhunt pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on five hits with three strikeouts and two walks. Carson Seymour took the loss.
This season, the Giants average 4.12 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .233/.311/.375 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Giants’ staff has a 3.63 ERA (6th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th). Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with a .247 batting average, 12 home runs, and 59 RBI this season.
Justin Verlander will take the mound for the Giants on Tuesday. The 42-year-old right-hander has a 1-8 record in 17 starts this year with a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 84.1 innings.
Why the Giants will beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Giants have won eight of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games following a road win.
- The Giants have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Giants’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Pirates’ last five night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven Tuesday night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Giants’ last 10 home games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Giants rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.376).
- The Giants rank 4th in the league for walks this season (373).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (352).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).
Giants vs Pirates Prediction
The Giants won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last five. I am backing the Giants to tie the series with a win here because of Justin Verlander, who finally got his first W in a San Francisco uniform in his previous start. I expect him to continue in the same fashion and dominate one of the worst offenses in the MLB and one of the worst road teams. Bailey Falter, on the other hand, surrendered 3+ runs in five of his last seven starts, which is a good sign for the Giants. Back the hosts.