Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/3/26 MLB Picks Today
Toronto Blue Jays (69-71) vs. Cleveland Guardians (70-69)
September 3, 2026 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -107 / Toronto Blue Jays -112; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 3rd at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 70-69 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 6-1 and 0-11. In game two, Cleveland fell behind in the first inning and never scored in the shutout loss. The Guardians recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by DeLauter, who went 3-4 in the game. Cantillo allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Hedges allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Royals, but did sweep the Angels before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 563 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 13 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 14 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 5-14 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 162.1 innings pitched this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 69-71 this year after they won game two by a score of 11-0 last night. Toronto scored seven runs in the first three innings and cruised to the blowout win. The Blue Jays recorded 15 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Guerrero Jr, who went 3-4 with one home run and five RBIs. Cease allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Little threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto swept the Mariners in three games, but lost two out of three against the Royals before that.
This season, Toronto has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 560 runs with a .246 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 28 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Soriano, who is 11-7 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 151.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight road games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against the Guardians following a win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday games as road favorites.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Blue Jays and Guardians.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against the Guardians.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Guardians’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Patrick Bailey has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
- Tanner Bibee has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Tanner Bibee has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Jose Soriano has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as road favorites.
- Jose Soriano has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of those five. The Blue Jays are 32-36 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 33-37 at home. Cleveland has won two of their last three games, but they have allowed 8+ runs in two of their last four. The Guardians are starting Bibee, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in back to back starts, while Soriano has allowed 3, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last three outings. Take Cleveland to win here.