Guardians vs Marlins Prediction 8/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 62-57 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-3 and 4-13. In their game two loss, Cleveland tied the game at four in the fourth inning, but they went scoreless over the last five innings in the blowout loss. The Guardians recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Arias, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Cleveland started Williams, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Allard picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Mets. Cleveland has won six of their last eight games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings behind the Detroit Tigers. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 474 runs with a .228 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 21 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 8-9 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 131.0 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-62 this year after they won game two easily on Wednesday night. Miami blew a 4-0 lead early in the game, but they scored the last nine runs to pull away in the big win. The Marlins recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 4-5 with two home runs and seven RBIs in the win. Miami started Perez, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Simpson, Phillips, and Zuber combined for 4.0 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost four out of five against the Braves and two out of three against the Astros. Miami has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 508 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 6-5 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 108.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Guardians

• The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Marlins’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Marlins’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last seven home appearances against the Marlins.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his eight previous appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

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Guardians vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami snapped their losing streak with a blowout win on Wednesday night, which dropped Cleveland back another game in the Central. The Marlins are 30-31 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 30-28 at home. Cleveland has been one of the hotter teams in the MLB recently, but they have lost two of their last three. The Guardians are going with Bibee, who has allowed four earned runs in each of his last three starts. The Marlins are starting Cabrera, who has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his last four outings. Give me the Marlins and the small plus money here.