Guardians vs Rangers Prediction 9/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Guardians vs Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Guardians vs Rangers Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 81-80 on the year after playing the Twins. The Texas Rangers are batting .235 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and a .382 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 124 hits and 35 RBI while Wyatt Langford and Josh Jung have combined for 236 hits and 122 RBI.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 7-11 with a 4.34 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 1-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 87-74 on the year after playing the Tigers. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .225 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 169 hits and 56 RBI while Jose Ramirez and Kyle Manzardo have combined for 273 hits and 155 RBI.

Logan Allen gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 8-11 with a 4.14 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. This will be Allen’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: September 28, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Allen      Record this season: 8-11      ERA: 4.14
• Home Record: 4-7
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-1

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven day games at Progressive Field following a loss.
• The Guardians have won 10 of their last 11 day games against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Rangers at Progressive Field following a win.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Rangers at Progressive Field.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin      Record this season: 7-11      ERA: 4.34
• Road Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Guardians have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have won five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games at Progressive Field following a win.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Guardians’ last 10 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Guardians’ last nine day games against AL West opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three day games.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous home appearances against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Jung has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four road games.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.

Guardians vs Rangers Prediction

The Guardians need a win to give themselves a chance to win the AL Central. Allen is pitching his best ball of the season, allowing 16 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 18 innings. The Rangers have nothing to play for, and Corbin is a pitcher we’ve faded over the years. Corbin has a 4.34 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the season, and he has a 5.31 ERA and .286 allowed batting average in 76.1 road innings. The Guardians are just finding ways to win during this historic turnaround. No reason to step in front of them, especially with Corbin on the bump. Give me the Guardians.