Guardians vs Reds Prediction 6/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 9th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 34-30 this year after they lost two out of three against Houston by scores of 2-4, 3-5, and 4-2. In their game three win, Cleveland blew a 2-0 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored twice in the bottom of the seventh for the win. The Guardians recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Naylor, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Bibee, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Smith got the win and Clase picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Angels before that. Cleveland has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 250 runs with a .234 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 12 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 11 home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Luis Ortiz, who is 3-6 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 65.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 33-33 this season after they swept the Diamondbacks in three games by scores of 4-3, 13-1, and 4-2. In their game three win, Cincinnati trailed 2-0 in the third inning, but they scored the final four runs in the game for the win. The Reds recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by McLain, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rogers picked up the win and Santillan got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Cubs. Cincinnati has won four of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 301 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 12 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Matt McLain has added seven home runs and 22 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Wade Miley, who is 0-0 with an 18.00 ERA and a 3.00 WHIP over 2.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Reds

• The home team has won each of the last six games between the Reds and Guardians.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Reds and Guardians.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Progressive Field against NL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Progressive Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the Reds and Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Reds’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six night games against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against the Reds at Progressive Field.
• Jose Ramirez has scored two runs in each of the Guardians’ last six home games against NL Central opponents.
• Nolan Jones has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Nolan Jones has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez ranks T4th in the league in Hits (78) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Will Benson has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last three games against the Guardians.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in six of his last seven appearances with the Reds as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Guardians.
• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 26th in the league for hits this season (489).
• The Guardians rank 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (234).
• The Reds rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (582).
• The Reds rank 7th in the league for walks this season (232).

Guardians vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup after a very nice series sweep over the Diamondbacks, and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Reds are 15-17 on the road this season, while the Guardians are 18-13 at home. Cleveland has lost two series in a row, and their offense has been low-scoring during that span. The Guardians are starting Ortiz, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Reds are going with Miley, who allowed six hits and four earned runs in his first appearance of the season. I don’t love the Cleveland offense right now, but I am not backing Wade Miley at the moment. Take the Guardians -1.5 in this one.