Guardians vs Rockies Prediction 7/29/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 52-54 this season after they lost game one by a score of 8-6 on Monday night. Cleveland led 5-3 in the eighth inning, but they fell apart in the last two innings for the loss. The Guardians recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Naylor, who went 1-1 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Cleveland started Cecconi, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Smith blew the save and picked up the loss.  

Prior to this series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Royals, but did win three out of four against the Orioles before that. Cleveland has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 409 runs with a .226 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 21 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 6-9 with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched this season. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 28-78 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-6 on Monday night. Colorado blew a 3-0 lead in the seventh, but they answered with five runs in the 8th/9th inning to steal the win. The Rockies recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Freeman, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Colorado started Blalock, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Kinley got the win and Halvorsen picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Colorado has won four of their last six games, and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.61 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP and a .295 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 384 runs with a .234 batting average and a .293 on-base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 19 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 16 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Tanner Gordon, who is 2-2 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Rockies

• The Guardians have won each of their last 14 Tuesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games against American League opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games following a loss.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Rockies.

Why the Rockies will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Guardians.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games following a road win.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Progressive Field.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at Progressive Field against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rockies’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Guardians’ last four home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rockies’ last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in seven of the Guardians’ last 11 night games.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in five of the Guardians’ last six games against the Rockies.
• Carlos Santana has recorded two or more hits in each of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Thairo Estrada has recorded a Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction 

Just a few games ago, Cleveland had a ton of momentum and they were making up ground in the Central, but they have lost four of five and don’t have their closer anymore. The Guardians are 25-26 at home this year, while the Rockies are 14-40 on the road. Colorado has played better in recent series, and they are starting Gordon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Cleveland is going with Allen, who has allowed 4, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last three starts. I think Allen will have a solid day against this Colorado lineup, while Gordon will continue to roll. Take the under here.