Guardians vs Royals Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 12th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 7-6 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 7-0. Cleveland scored three runs in the fourth inning and they added four more in the eighth to blow the game wide open in the win. The Guardians recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Arias, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Bibee, who allowed three hits over 4.2 innings, while Herrin came in to finish the fifth and got the win. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the White Sox in three games and lost two out of three against the Angels. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 51 runs with a .221 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with four home runs and 11 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added four home runs and six RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Luis Ortiz, who is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP over 10.2 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 7-7 this season after they were shutout in game one of this series. Kansas City wasted a very solid start from Bubic and couldn’t find much offense at all in the loss. The Royals recorded just five hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Witt Jr., who went 2-2 with two walks in the game. Kansas City started Bubic, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings in the loss, while Stratton allowed five hits and two earned runs in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Royals won three out of four against the Twins and two out of three against the Orioles. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 45 runs with a .218 batting average and a .288 on base percentage this season. Maikel Garcia has led Kansas City with two home runs and six RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has added one home run and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

• The Royals have won each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last four Saturday night games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games following a win.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Royals’ last 11 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Guardians’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Royals and Guardians.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six Saturday games against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three night games.
• Steven Kwan has recorded an RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games against the Royals.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 16 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded an RBI in each of his last three road appearances against the Guardians.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games against AL opponents.
• Michael Massey has scored at least one run in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Royals’ last eight road games against AL opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last eight road games against AL opponents.

Guardians vs Royals Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row and they have allowed a total of three runs in their last four games. The Guardians haven’t had the best offensive start to the season, but they have scored 13 runs in their last two games. Kansas City has lost two of their last three games and they haven’t hit the ball very well either, but their pitching staff has been fantastic. Ortiz has allowed plenty of baserunners this year and has allowed 10 earned runs over 10.2 innings, so take the Royals to get the win here.