Guardians vs Royals Prediction 4/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 13th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 8-6 this year after they defeated Kansas City by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Cleveland trailed 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away with the win. The Guardians recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Arias and Martinez, who both had two RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Ortiz, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 5.2 innings pitched for the win, while Clase allowed four hits and two earned runs in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the White Sox in three games and lost two out of three against the Angels. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 57 runs with a .226 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with four home runs and 11 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added four home runs and seven RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Ben Lively, who is 0-1 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 7-8 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 7-0 and 6-3. In that game two loss, the Royals jumped out to a 1-0 lead, but they found themselves down 6-1 in the ninth, before coming up short in the late rally. The Royals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Pasquantino, who went 3-4 with one home run, one RBI, and two runs in the loss. Kansas City started Lorenzen, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings in the loss, while Long allowed two hits and three earned runs in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Royals won three out of four against the Twins and two out of three agains the Orioles. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 48 runs with a .216 batting average and a .284 on base percentage this season. Maikel Garcia has led Kansas City with two home runs and seven RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has added two home runs and 11 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Cole Ragans, who is 0-0 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

• The favorites have won each of the Guardians’ last eight games at Progressive Field.
• The Guardians have lost five of their last six day games against the Royals following a win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games following a road loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as home underdogs.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Royals and Guardians have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Royals and Guardians.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight road games against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Steven Kwan has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded an RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as home underdogs.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Guardians.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last nine road games against AL opponents.
• Jonathan India has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite.

Guardians vs Royals Prediction 

Kansas City came into this series with plenty of momentum after that series win against Minnesota, but they need to win here to avoid the sweep. The Royals continue to have issues scoring runs, as they have scored a total of six runs in their last four games. Cleveland picked up another win on Saturday afternoon and their offense remained hot, as they have scored 19 runs in their last three. I do think KC has the pitching advantage in this game, as I have very little faith in Lively, so I will back the low scoring Royals here.