
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6-21-24 Picks
Baltimore Orioles (49-25) vs. Houston Astros (35-40)
June 21, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros +109 / Baltimore Orioles -119; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles and the Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will start Grayson Rodriguez here and Rodriguez is 8-2 with a 3.20 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s second career start against the Astros. Jake Bloss will get the start for the Astros and will make his major league debut in this game.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to keep their momentum going after another series win, taking out the rival Yankees with a 14-5 blowout win in Thursday’s series finale. The win kept the O’s series win streak alive after taking down the Phillies, Braves and Rays in the last week and a half.
Orioles Rolling Offensively
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 22 home runs, along with 50 RBIs and 4 triples but also has a team-high 79 strikeouts in addition to 12 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has a team-high 85 hits with 14 home runs and 53 RBIs in addition to 10 doubles while Anthony Santander has 13 doubles with 19 home runs and 48 RBIs and Colton Cowser has 12 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has a team-high 19 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 15 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have lost seven of their last eight games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 14 road games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a win.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this series looking to build off of their series win over the White Sox thanks to a 5-3 win in Thursday’s series finale. The win gave Houston back-to-back series wins after taking out the Detroit Tigers in their series last weekend.
Astros Still Trying To Find Consistency
Jose Altuve has 90 hits and a .296 batting average with 11 home runs, 30 RBIs and 14 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 19 homers with 11 doubles and 40 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 15 homers with 39 RBIs and 16 doubles while Tucker has the Astros’ team lead with 10 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 78 hits and a .274 batting average as well as 10 stolen bases of his own this season.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Orioles’ last nine games at Minute Maid Park.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Friday games as underdogs.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Minute Maid Park against AL East opponents.
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m on the Orioles here. Bloss has done some solid things at the minor league level, but he’s pitched at the AA level for much of the season and going from that level to the majors to take on one of the best lineups in baseball is a tough ask for any pitcher, but the Houston Astros at times this year just look like they’re putting guys in out of necessity because of injury. Baltimore just crushed the Yankees and I think confidence is at a high for the O’s right now. Give me Baltimore.