Baltimore Orioles (49-27) vs. Houston Astros (37-40)
June 23, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -112 / Baltimore Orioles -105; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 49-27 on the year and play the Guardians and Rangers next. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 29 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 90 hits and 53 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Ryan Mountcastle have combined for 159 hits and 92 RBI.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 37-40 on the year and play the Rockies and Mets next. The Houston Astros have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 straight games. The Houston Astros have won 5 straight games when scoring at least 1 run. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 93 hits and 32 RBI while Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have combined for 162 hits and 68 RBI.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Pitching Pick Matchup
Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 15 hits and 5 runs in his last 14 innings. Suarez has a 2.22 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 24.1 road innings. This will be Suarez’s first career game against the Houston Astros.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 5-5 with a 3.91 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 16 hits and 9 runs in his last 26 innings. Valdez has a 4.17 ERA and .260 allowed batting average in 36.2 home innings. Valdez is 0-0 with a 4.98 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last 10 Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Astros have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home win.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded a Double in four of the Astros’ last five day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last five Sunday appearances in day games.
- Chas McCormick has recorded a Single in each of the Astros’ last five day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Astros’ last six games as favorites against the Orioles.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has hit at least one home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games against AL West opponents.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Sunday appearances.
- Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in each of his last seven road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against the Astros.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as road underdogs against the Astros.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against the Astros.
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Houston Astros continue to show flashes of turning things around, and they’ve been a team I’ve backed a lot this week. With that said, we’re getting the better and more consistent team in the Orioles at a cheaper price. Framber Valdez has been up and down, and he’s had some of his biggest struggles at home. Albert Suarez has been the more consistent pitcher this season and has held his own on the road. Give me the Orioles and the cheap price on the road in game 3.
