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Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5-2-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (19-10) vs. Houston Astros (10-19)
May 2, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -139 / Cleveland Guardians +128; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 2nd at Minute Maid Park. 

Guardians Keep Winning

The Guardians seem to keep winning games and on Wednesday they they needed extra innings but ended up winning 3-2. Steven Kwan had a strong game finishing with three hits and two RBIs. Triston McKenzie was good also going seven innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Cleveland Offense Has Been Key 

The Guardians are averaging 5.24 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.69 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th while the pitching is ranked 5th. The Guardians offense doesn’t have a ton of star power, but they have sure been impressive with the role players. Josh Naylor has hit seven home runs and driven in 24 RBIs. Jose Ramirez has hit five home runs and driven in 24 RBIs. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Logan Allen who sits with a 3-1 record and an ERA of 5.46. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went 4.2 innings giving up five hits and four runs. 

Astros Offense Let Them Down

The Astros offense only managed two runs and that led to them losing. Justin Verlander did have a strong game going seven innings giving up only two runs. The Astros are averaging 4.55 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.28 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th while the defense is ranked 26th. They are batting as a team .265 which is 3rd, but they haven’t done a good job of stringing hits together. It happened again on Wednesday and that is going to need to change quickly or this is going to be a wasted season. Kyle Tucker has hit seven home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. Getting the start for the Astros will be Spencer Arrighetti who sits with an 0-33 record and an ERA of 10.97. In his last start against the Chicago Cubs, he went 3.2 innings giving up seven hits and four runs. The Astros are going to need to be better here. The Astros will play against the Mariners and Yankees after this series.

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last eight Thursday games.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five Thursday night games against AL West opponents.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

This could end up being the highest scoring game on the board. Arrighetti has had his issues, and he sits with an ERA of 10.97. Allen is coming off a start where he gave up four runs, and he’s going to really struggle again in this game. Both of the starting pitchers are going to have some major issues and that will be the difference here as this game is going to go well over the total. Back the over. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Over

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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