Houston Astros vs LA Angels Prediction 9-22-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs LA Angels prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 22nd at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the series.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 85-70 this year and they have won three games in a row. Houston has won the first three games in this series by scores of 3-1, 9-7, and 10-4. Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Padres, swept the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Houston is 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are first in the AL West.

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 717 runs with a .263 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .305 with 35 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Astros this season.

LA Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 62-93 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Los Angeles has dropped the first three games in this series and they have allowed 22 runs in the three games. Prior to this series, the Angels won two out of three against the White Sox, lost all three against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Los Angeles is 2-9 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 611 runs with a .229 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Zach Neto is batting .245 with 21 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Angels this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 7-13 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this year. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Griffin Canning, who is 6-13 with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 162.1 innings pitched this season. Canning has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow nine earned runs two starts ago against the Twins. 

Why the Astros will beat the Angels

• The Astros have won each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Angels have lost each of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
• The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Astros’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Angels’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last three day games at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jason Heyward has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Angels.
• Jason Heyward has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last nine games against the Angels.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

• Mike Trout has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Anthony Rendon has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Angels as underdogs against the Astros.
• Nolan Schanuel has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Angels’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances at Minute Maid Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Minute Maid Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.

Houston Astros vs LA Angels Prediction 

Houston rolls into this game looking to complete the sweep and they are playing some very good baseball right now. The Astros are 45-32 at home this season, while the Angels are just 30-47 on the road. Los Angeles is playing pretty poorly right now and even though Canning has been pretty good recently, I don’t trust him against the Astros lineup. Arrighetti has been very good for the Astros over the last few months and I like him to have another strong outing here. Take the Astros -1.5 in this game.