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Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9-23-24 MLB Picks

Seattle Mariners (80-76) vs. Houston Astros (85-71)
September 23, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -164 / Seattle Mariners +139; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 80-76 on the year after playing the Yankees and Rangers. The Seattle Mariners have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 147 hits and 63 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have combined for 206 hits and 150 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 85-71 on the year after playing the Padres and Angels. The Houston Astros have scored 27 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Houston Astros have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 182 hits and 65 RBI, while Yainer Diaz and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 342 hits and 170 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Pitching Pick Matchup

Bryce Miller gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 11-8 with a 3.06 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. Miller has allowed 14 hits and 5 runs in his last 22.2 innings. Miller has a 4.44 ERA and a .234 allowed batting average in 77 road innings. Miller is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Hunter Brown gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 11-8 with a 3.57 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. Brown has allowed 18 hits and 7 runs in his last 17 innings. Brown has a 3.49 ERA and .224 allowed abutting average in 80 home innings. Brown is 1-2 with a 5.73 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have lost seven of their last eight Monday games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last seven games at Minute Maid Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Mariners following a home loss.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last three Monday games as home favorites.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Astros at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yainer Diaz has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last 10 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 16 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in 13 of his last 14 Monday night appearances against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in each of the Astros’ last three home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 16 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two night games.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded a single in each of the Astros’ last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Miller has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners’ last six road games.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL West opponents.
  • Victor Robles has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Dylan Moore has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank T1st in the league for hits this season (1412).
  • The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1430).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1573).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.52).

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Houston Astros should be favored at home, as they’re closing in on a division title. However, the value is with the Mariners and the plus money, a team fighting for their wild-card lives. Also, you can argue Bryce Miller has been more consistent than Hunter Brown this season, and the Mariners have won 6 of the last 9 games against the Astros. Miller has a 3.06 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, while Brown has a 3.57 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. It’s now or never for the Mariners. I’ll grab the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners +139

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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