Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9-24-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 24th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 85-72 this year and they have lost two games in a row. Houston dropped the first game in this series and they only managed one run in the loss. Prior to this series, the Astros won three out of four against the Angels, lost two out of three against the Padres, and swept the Angels. Houston is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 726 runs with a .262 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage. Alex Bergman is batting .256 with 25 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Astros this season.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 81-76 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Seattle won game one in this series by a score of 6-1 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Rangers, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and won three out of four against the Rangers. Seattle is 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL West. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .221 opponent batting average. The Mariners’ offense has scored 650 runs with a .224 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .216 with 31 home runs and 96 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 8-11 with a 3.24 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 197.0 innings pitched this year. Gilbert has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 14-7 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 170.2 innings pitched this year. Valdez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. 

Why the Astros will beat the Mariners

• The Mariners have lost each of their last seven Tuesday games.
• The Astros have won five of their last six night games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday night games.
• The Astros have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Mariners and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mariners’ last seven night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Mariners and Astros.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four games at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Seattle was able to get the win in game one of this series, which prevented Houston from clinching the division. The Mariners are most likely not going to catch the Astros in the division, but they are in the AL Wild Card race. Seattle is 35-44 on the road this season, while Houston is 45-34 at home. The Astros look like they will be without Alvarez in this game, but they are starting Valdez, who has been dominant in his last four starts. Seattle is going with Gilbert, who has been inconsistent recently but does have an elite WHIP this season. I think Valdez has been one of the best-starting pitchers in baseball over the last few weeks, so give me the Astros to win.