Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 6/28/2021

The Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action at Fenway Park. The Royals need a win to snap a five-game losing streak. The Red Sox look for a win after winning eight of their last 12 games.

The Kansas City Royals have scored five runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last 10 games. The Royals have won four of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Whit Merrifield leads the Royals with 84 hits and 43 RBI while Salvador Perez and Carlos Santana have combined for 146 hits and 89 RBI. Danny Duffy gets the ball, and he is 4-3 with a 1.81 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Duffy is 0-6 with a 7.26 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Red Sox have won seven straight games when scoring four or more runs. Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with 90 hits and 46 RBI while JD Martinez and Rafael Deevers have combined for 184 hits and 111 RBI. Garrett Richards gets the ball, and he is 4-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Richards is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Royals.

The Royals are 7-20 in their last 27 road games and 4-17 in their last 21 overall. The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games and 4-9 in their last 13 Monday games. The over is 3-1-3 in Royals last 7 overall. The under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games. The Royals are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.

The Red Sox should be favored at home for obvious reasons and it’s hard to back the Royals with confidence given the lack of recent offense. However, we’re getting plus money with Duffy on the mound. Through 44.2 innings, Duffy has allowed just nine earned runs while striking out 53. Duffy is allowing a .210 batting average on the season and has a 1.67 ERA through 27 innings on the road. I’ll take a shot with the road dog.