Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7-21-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 21st at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Royals are Searching for the Sweep 

The Kansas City Royals are 54-45 this year and they have won six of their last eight games. Kansas City has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-1 and 6-1. Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Red Sox, won both games against the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Rockies. Kansas City is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 455 runs with a .247 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .332 with 17 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored at least six runs in six of their last eight games. 

White Sox on Another Losing Streak 

The Chicago White Sox are 27-73 this season and they have lost six games in a row. Chicago has dropped the first two games in this series and they have only scored one run in each game. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost all three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Marlins. Chicago is 3-12 in their last 15 games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 315 runs with a .220 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .224 with 16 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has allowed at least six runs in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Drew Thorpe, who is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year. Thorpe has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 11-4 with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 127.0 innings pitched this season. Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Royals will beat the White Sox

• The Royals have won each of their last 17 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have lost each of their last 12 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last 12 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have won the first inning in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last eight games as favorites against the White Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the White Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games as favorites.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four home games against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Royals’ last five home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last six home games against AL opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in day games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals’ last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six games as favorites.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit at least one home run in 10 of his last 20 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has recorded a Double in each of his last four road appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Tommy Pham has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against the Royals.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they are trying to chase down the Twins for second in the AL Central. The Royals play their best baseball at home, where they are 33-18 this season, while the White Sox are just 10-39 on the road. Chicago has been one of the bottom teams in all of baseball this season and their hitting has produced the least amount of runs in the MLB. Kansas City is starting Seth Lugo, who has been mostly dominant this season, and I think he rolls again here. My Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox prediction is for the Royals to win by at least two runs.