Royals vs Tigers Prediction 8/29/25 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Chris Paddack here and Paddack is 5-11 with a 4.98 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paddack is 1-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Kansas City. The Kansas City Royals will send out Seth Lugo here and Lugo is 8-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Tigers, Lugo is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-0 loss at the hands of the Athletics last time out to sit at 76-57 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Tigers Drop 4th In A Row

Spencer Torkelson has 112 hits along with a .240 batting average including 28 home runs, 25 doubles and 70 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 22 home runs and 50 RBIs while Riley Greene has 133 hits with 26 doubles, 32 home runs and 99 RBIs but also has a team-high 168 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 11 home runs and 51 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 18 doubles, 10 triples, 11 home runs and 43 RBIs of his own along with 103 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 97 hits and 17 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. Colt Keith also has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 40 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Royals.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games against the Royals.
• Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Riley Greene ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to add on to their 12-1 win over the Chicago White Sox last time out to sit at 69-65 this season. After this series, the Royals will take on the Los Angeles Angels at home.

Royals Win Back-To-Back Games

Bobby Witt Jr. has 155 hits with 41 doubles and 34 stolen bases along with 4 triples, 19 home runs and 74 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 134 hits with 22 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 146 hits with 32 doubles, 5 triples, 13 home runs and 61 RBIs and 22 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 32 doubles, 23 home runs and 77 RBIs but also has 105 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The home team has won nine of the Tigers’ last 10 games.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last four games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a road win.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last four home games against AL opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (155) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Royals’ last eight home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.

Royals vs Tigers Prediction

I’m on the over here. Chris Paddack is still a head scratching acquisition that the Tigers made at the trade deadline in my opinion, as I just think he’s not worth starting in a top tier rotation. On the other side, Lugo has started to really regress in a lot of his starts, and he’s also had some significant issues against the Tigers in his starts against them this season. Give me the over in this one.