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Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-31-24 Picks

San Diego Padres (30-29) vs. Kansas City Royals (35-23)
May 31, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals +110 / San Diego Padres -130; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 31st at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Royals Starting to Skid

The Kansas City Royals are 35-23 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Kansas City is coming off of a series loss against Minnesota, where they lost three out of four games and allowed 18 runs in the four games. Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Rays, swept the Tigers in three games, and swept the Athletics in three games. Kansas City is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they are second in the AL Central behind Cleveland. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 282 runs with a .251 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Salvador Perez is batting .320 with 10 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City is sixth in team ERA this year, but they have allowed at least four runs in five of their last six games. 

Padres Making a Push in the NL West 

The San Diego Padres are 30-29 this year and they have won three of their last four games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Miami, where they won three out of four games, but lost 9-1 in game four. Prior to that series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the Reds, and won three out of four against the Braves. San Diego is 8-5 in their last 13 games and they are tied for second in the NL West with the Giants. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 255 runs with a .255 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .249 with nine home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has been very up and down with their offense this season, as they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this season. Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts and has gone at least 6.0 innings in all four outings. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who is 5-4 with a 3.29 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this year. Cease has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has allowed nine earned runs and 17 hits in his last two outings (10.2 IP). 

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The Royals have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Padres have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Kauffman Stadium.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games.
The Padres have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Padres’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Royals’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five night games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three night games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (202).
The Kansas City Royals rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (13).
The San Diego Padres rank T1st in the league for hits this season (508).
The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (529).

Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

Kansas City has hit a bit of a rough patch recently, as they have lost four of their last five games and blew a 4-0 lead on Thursday, but they will be back home, where they are 21-8 on the season. San Diego is 17-10 on the road ad they have played decently well over the last two weeks, but their offense is very inconsistent. The Royals are a very good home team and even though Wacha has some poor numbers on the season, he has pitched extremely well recently. On the other side, Cease has not pitched well in two straight starts and faces a very good lineup here. My Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Royals to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Royals ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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