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LA Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction 9-13-24 MLB Picks

Houston Astros (78-68) vs. LA Angels (60-86)
September 13, 2024 9:38 pm EDT
The Line: LA Angels +170 / Houston Astros -205; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an LA Angels vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 13th at Angels Stadium in Anaheim, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

LA Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 60-86 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Los Angeles is coming off of a series loss against the Twins, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Angels lost three out of four against the Rangers, split two games with the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Los Angeles is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 576 runs with a .229 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage. Zach Neto is batting .256 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Angels this season.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 78-68 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Houston is coming off of a series loss against Oakland, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, lost all three against the Reds, and swept the Royals. Houston is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Astros’ offense has scored 674 runs with a .262 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .311 with 32 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Astros this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 8-9 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 156.2 innings pitched this year. Kikuchi has allowed one earned run in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Samuel Aldegheri, who is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season. Aldegheri has allowed three earned runs and nine hits over 11 innings of work in his first two starts. 

Why the Astros will beat the Angels

  • The Astros have won each of their last 12 Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have lost seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Astros have covered the run line each of their last nine Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Astros’ last five games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Angels’ last five games have gone OVER the total run line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last three games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Taylor Ward has recorded a Double in four of the Angels’ last five home games against AL opponents.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances with the Angels as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Taylor Ward has hit a home run in four of the Angels’ last five games as home underdogs.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Angels’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one total base in each of the Angels’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Anthony Rendon has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Angels as underdogs against the Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against the Angels.
  • Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Astros as road favorites against the Angels.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros’ last seven Friday games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Angels.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Astros as favorites.
  • Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances with the Astros against AL opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances.
  • Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 13 appearances against the Angels.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL opponents.

LA Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston was able to pick up a much-needed win on Thursday to avoid being swept at home by Oakland, and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Astros are 36-36 on the road, while the Angels are 30-42 on the road this year. Houston is watching Seattle creep closer in the race for the AL West, so they need to get back on the right track.

The Astros are going with Kikuchi, who has been very solid since coming over from Toronto. The Angels are going with Aldegheri, who has been decent through two starts but faces a tough lineup here. Neither team is playing very well right now, but I have to back Kikuchi and the Astros. Take Houston -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Astros -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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