LA Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 9-6-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an LA Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 6th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 84-56 this year and they have won six of their last eight games. Los Angeles is coming off of a series split with the Angels, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Dodgers won three out of four against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Orioles, and won two out of three against the Rays. Los Angeles is 12-4 in their last 16 games and they are first in the NL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Dodgers’ offense has scored 701 runs with a .254 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .290 with 44 home runs and 99 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 80-60 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Cleveland is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Pirates, lost three out of four against the Royals, and won two out of three against the Rangers. Cleveland is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are first in the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 636 runs with a .239 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .273 with 34 home runs and 106 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who is 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP over 22.2 innings pitched this year. Boyd has allowed one earned run in three of his four starts this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Landon Knack, who is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 48.0 innings pitched this season. Knack has allowed one earned run in three of his last five outings. 

Why the Dodgers will beat the Guardians

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Guardians.
• The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Guardians will beat the Dodgers

• The Guardians have won six of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in each of their last five road games against NL West opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 road games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five games against AL Central opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Mookie Betts has recorded an RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Muncy has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Gavin Lux has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Guardians’ last nine games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Josh Naylor has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Andres Gimenez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in each of the Guardians’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (190).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (256).
• The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1018).
• The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).

LA Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

These two teams come into this series leading their respective divisions, but they both have two teams that are within about five games. The Guardians are 37-35 on the road this season, while the Dodgers are 45-24 at home. Los Angeles has been great at home all season and they are starting Landon Knack, who has been great for them this season.

Cleveland has had some road struggles, but Boyd has pitched very well in his four starts. I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game in this matchup, especially with how Cleveland’s offense has hit over the last few months, so I am taking the under here.