LA Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/28/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Janson Junk for the start here and Junk is 1-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against the Dodgers. The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Shohei Ohtani for the start here and Ohtani is 2-0 with a 0.38 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ohtani is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Dodgers in Monday’s opener to sit at 13-16 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Marlins Lose 3 In A Row

Xavier Edwards has 36 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 9 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 34 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 3 homers and 12 RBIs. Agustin Ramirez has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 12 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 28 hits with 3 doubles, 6 home runs and 27 RBIs. Connor Norby has 20 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 10 RBI and Owen Caissie has 17 hits with 6 doubles, 2 homers and 14 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 21 hits with 2 triples, a home run and 8 RBIs this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Marlins from Monday’s opener to improve to 20-9 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Dodgers Win 3 In A Row

Andy Pages has 34 hits with 7 doubles, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 23 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 6 home runs and 13 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 29 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 3 home runs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 28 hits with 3 doubles, 9 home runs and 11 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: April 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shohei Ohtani      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 0.38
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 13 night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last nine home games against the Marlins.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in each of their last five night games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against the Marlins at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 3.67
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Dodgers: –

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last 12 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the last 10 games between the Marlins and Dodgers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight night games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of Shohei Ohtani’s last 13 appearances as a starter.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Shohei Ohtani has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Mookie Betts has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Marlins.
• Max Muncy ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.617) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Agustin Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Xavier Edwards ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.340) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.277).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.466).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (31).

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers -1.5 here. Granted I thought that the Dodgers would get to Chris Paddack fairly easily in the opener and the Marlins managed to keep it close, but I think this is a spot where the offense really breaks through against Janson Junk. Junk’s a fringe option in this Marlins rotation and the Dodgers should win this one comfortably. Give me the Dodgers.