MLB Picks

LA Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/29/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (14-16) vs. LA Dodgers (20-10)
April 29, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -232 / Miami Marlins +189; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara for the start here and Alcantara is 3-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Alcantara is 2-3 with a 7.52 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers and is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. In his career, Glasnow is 1-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 24 strikeouts against the Marlins.


Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Dodgers from Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 14-16 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Marlins Snap Three-Game Slide

Going into Tuesday, Xavier Edwards has 36 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 9 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 34 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 3 homers and 12 RBIs. Agustin Ramirez has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 12 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 28 hits with 3 doubles, 6 home runs and 27 RBIs. Connor Norby has 20 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 10 RBI and Owen Caissie has 17 hits with 6 doubles, 2 homers and 14 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 21 hits with 2 triples, a home run and 8 RBIs this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of the Marlins on Tuesday to slip to 20-10 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Dodgers Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Tuesday, Andy Pages has 34 hits with 7 doubles, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 23 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 6 home runs and 13 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 29 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 3 home runs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 28 hits with 3 doubles, 9 home runs and 11 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: April 29, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Glasnow      Record this season: 3-0      ERA: 2.45
  • Home Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in six of their last eight games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 3.05
  • Road Record: 1-1
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-3

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against the Marlins following a home loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Twelve of the Marlins’ last 13 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Dodgers’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Dodgers’ last five day games against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded eight or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mookie Betts has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in six of his last 22 appearances in day games.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 24 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Xavier Edwards ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.457).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (204).
  • The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (34).

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers -1.5 here. Alcantara is the Marlins’ ace, but he has had major issues against the Dodgers in his career and struggled against them big time last season, including 7 runs in 2.2 innings in this ballpark last year. Glasnow at times can be overpriced in his starts, but I think he does enough for the Dodgers to back him up and get the win on the -1.5 run line. Give me the Dodgers -1.5.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

Related Articles

Back to top button