NY Mets (94-75) vs. LA Dodgers (101-66)
October 13, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -155 / NY Mets +140; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Mets and LA Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB game 1 of the NLCS at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Pick.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets played a 4-game series against the Phillies and the winner of this series plays the winner of Yankees – Guardians. The Mets are in the NLCS for the first time since 2015. The NY Mets have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The NY Mets have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Mark Vientos leads the NY Mets with 12 hits and 7 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 14 hits and 10 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers played 5 games against the Padres and are in the NLCS for the third time in the last five years. The LA Dodgers have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The LA Dodgers have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Teoscar Hernandez leads the LA Dodgers with 6 hits and 7 RBI, while Gavin Lux and Mookie Betts have combined for 9 hits and 6 RBI.
NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup
Kodai Senga gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Senga is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his postseason career. This will be Senga’s second career game against the LA Dodgers.
Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his postseason career. This will be Flaherty’s second career game against the NY Mets.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night playoff games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games as favorites.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games as favorites.
- Miguel Rojas has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (54) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Mets’ last 15 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 games against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).
- The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (586).
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Prediction
The Dodgers are far and away the more trustworthy team, as Kodai Senga has pitched just 7.1 innings this season. However, the Mets continue to look like the team that is riding the magic school bus and won’t be denied. I’m not trying to step in front of the magic. The Mets just keep finding ways to win, and they’ve won 7 of their last 13 games as an underdog.
Also, Jack Flaherty hasn’t been great in his postseason career, and that includes allowing 5 hits and 4 runs against the Padres in game 2. Flaherty has allowed 3 or more runs in each of his last 4 starts. I’ll keep riding with the Mets and this magical run.
