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LA Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8-11-24 MLB Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates (56-60) vs. LA Dodgers (68-49)
August 11, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -286 / Pittsburgh Pirates +235; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Los Angeles Dodgers square off Sunday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Bailey Falter here and Falter is 5-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s second career start against the Dodgers. Tyler Glasnow will get the start for the Dodgers here and is 9-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 164 strikeouts this season. This will be Glasnow’s second career start against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to salvage something from this series after ending up with a 4-1 loss in Saturday’s matchup. The loss meant that the Pirates would fall short in the series regardless of Sunday’s result, making it three straight series losses after losing out to the Padres and Diamondbacks over the last week.
Pirates Losing Ground In NL Playoff Chase
Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 130 hits with 22 doubles along with 19 home runs and 68 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 14 home runs and Jack Suwinski has 9 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz has 11 stolen bases and 140 strikeouts while also posting 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .239 batting average and 19 doubles as well this season. Ke’Bryan Hayes also has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last five Sunday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Sunday games against NL Central opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to complete the sweep after ending up with the win in Saturday’s matchup. The win gave the Dodgers the series victory to bounce back from their series loss to the Phillies to start the week.
Dodgers Trying To Pull Away In NL West
Shohei Ohtani has 134 hits including a team-high 35 home runs, 29 doubles and 83 RBIs with a .300 batting average while Mookie Betts has 86 hits with 16 doubles, 3 triples, 10 homers and 40 RBIs of his own, but continues to miss time because of an injury. Teoscar Hernandez also has 26 home runs with 76 RBIs and a team-high 133 strikeouts. Betts also has 9 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 32 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 17 home runs and 71 RBIs with 28 doubles and Will Smith has added 19 doubles, 15 home runs and 60 RBIs.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six games.
- The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Dodger Stadium.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last four games.
LA Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’m on the Pirates in this one. I think the Dodgers should be favored here, but this price is a bit more than I’m really willing to lay with Tyler Glasnow pitching. Is Bailey Falter my favorite option for the Pirates? No, but the Dodgers have slipped a bit against lefties as of late and I think this is a decent value spot for the Pirates to salvage something from the series. Give me Pittsburgh.