LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out JP Sears for the start here and Sears is 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Emmet Sheehan will start for the Dodgers here and Sheehan is 4-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of the Dodgers on Saturday to slip to 43-45 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against Arizona.

Padres Lose 8th In A Row

Going into Saturday, Jackson Merrill has 70 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 93 hits with 16 doubles and 33 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 67 hits with 7 doubles, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 59 hits with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs as well on the year.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be out to add on to their win over San Diego from Saturday to improve to 59-31 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Dodgers Win 7 Of Last 8

Entering Saturday, Andy Pages has 92 hits with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 62 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 53 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 36 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 89 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 50 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 95 hits with 23 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 47 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 73 hits with 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 74 hits with 17 doubles, 7 home runs and 45 RBIs this season.

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: July 5, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Emmet Sheehan      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 5.08
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Padres: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last nine home games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have lost each of their last eight games.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 day games against the Padres at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: JP Sears      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 6.97
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-1

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won eight of their last 10 day games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four Sunday games as favorites.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games following a home win.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home day games.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Dodgers’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs against the Dodgers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last six day games against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last four day games against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Emmet Sheehan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
• Freddie Freeman ranks T5th in the league in Hits (97) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in each of the Padres’ last two day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded a hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Dodgers.
• JP Sears has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (481).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (343).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (646).

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the over here. I lean towards the Dodgers as well, but if there’s any pitcher that can break the Padres out of their slump, it’s Emmet Sheehan, who has been the weak link of this Dodger starting rotation. On the flipside, Sears was rocked in his last start and the Dodgers have been doing well against lefties as of late once again. I think this is a spot where we get some runs so give me the over in this one.