LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9-26-24 MLB Picks
San Diego Padres (91-66) vs. LA Dodgers (93-64)
September 26, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -128 / San Diego Padres +118; Over/Under: +8.5
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The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s an LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include an LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 91-67 on the year and play the Diamondbacks next. The San Diego Padres have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 159 hits and 104 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar have combined for 315 hits and 174 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers are 94-64 on the year and play the Rockies next. The LA Dodgers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The LA Dodgers have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the LA Dodgers with 187 hits and 125 RBI, while Teoscar Hernandez and Freddie Freeman have combined for 306 hits and 183 RBI.
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup
Joe Musgrove gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Musgrove has allowed 18 hits and 6 runs in his last 22.1 innings. Musgrove has a 4.18 ERA and a .283 allowed batting average in 28 road innings. Musgrove is 0-7 with a 4.48 ERA and 62 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.
Walker Buehler gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 1-6 with a 5.63 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. Buehler has allowed 22 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 21.1 innings. Buehler has a 4.95 ERA and a .289 allowed batting average in 40 home innings. Buehler is 6-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 78 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last six Thursday night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday night games.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in each of their last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (53) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Luis Arraez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.314) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.443).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (809).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.264).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1048).
LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The San Diego Padres and the plus money is intriguing because they’ve been incredible in the second half and are still fighting for playoff positioning. Joe Musgrove has also been sharper than Walker Buehler this season. With all that said, the Dodgers are at home, they’re closing in on the NL West and you rarely get them at home with prices this cheap very often. I’ve been on the Padres a ton over the last couple of months. I lean Dodgers here.