LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 5/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Monday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Francisco Giants will send out Trevor McDonald for the start here and McDonald is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be McDonald’s second career start against the Dodgers. Roki Sasaki will start for the Dodgers here and is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s first career start against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this game looking to bounce back from a 13-3 loss at the hands of the Pirates last time out to sit at 15-24 this season. After this series, the Giants will head on the road for a series agianst the Athletics.

Giants Drop 8 Of Last 10

Luis Arraez has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 2 triples and 14 RBIs while Willy Adames has 33 hits with 12 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs along with 49 strikeouts. Matt Chapman has 35 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Jung Hoo Lee has 40 hits with 9 doubles and 12 RBIs. Heliot Ramos has 40 hits with 10 doubles, 4 home runs and 18 RBIs this season. Rafael Devers also has 35 hits with 8 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs but also has 49 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-2 loss at the hands of the Braves last time out to sit at 24-16 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will square off in a series against the Angels on the road.

Dodgers Looking For Series Rebound

Andy Pages has 49 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 30 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 34 hits with 7 doubles, 6 home runs and 16 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 40 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 20 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 3 home runs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 35 hits with 5 doubles, 10 home runs and 15 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 36 hits with 9 doubles, 4 home runs and 20 RBIs this season.

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: May 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Roki Sasaki      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 5.97
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Giants: –

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Giants have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The Dodgers have won 10 of their last 11 home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in 15 of their last 17 night games against the Giants following a loss.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Monday games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor McDonald      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.29
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won four of the Dodgers’ last five games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six night games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium after going to extra innings.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
• The Giants have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have won the first inning in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Giants’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Giants and Dodgers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last four appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Giants’ last seven night games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Mookie Betts has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andy Pages ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last two night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank T1st in the league for hits allowed this season (280).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (134).
• The Giants rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (130).
• The Giants rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (125).

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Giants in this one. The Dodgers did not look all that sharp in their series against Atlanta and I think they could struggle once again. McDonald has solid stuff and Sasaki for me is the weak link of this Dodger starting rotation. I think this is San Fran’s best shot in this series and they come back with a win to start the set. Give me the Giants.